The NASCAR Cup Series heads back to Texas Motor Speedway Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET for the Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500. Below, we analyze the Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500 odds and betting lines, with NASCAR picks and tips with odds from BetMGM sportsbook.
Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500: What you need to know
Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 5:15 p.m. ET.
The Cup Series continues its playoffs at Texas, with Stewart-Haas Racing driver Kevin Harvick ( +260 for Sunday’s race) on the Busch pole. He finished fifth in the first scheduled Cup race at Texas back in July.
- Harvick has 10 consecutive finishes inside the top 10 at Texas, and he has posted three wins, 12 top 5s and 23 top 10s with 654 laps led in 35 career Cup starts at the track with a 10.23 Average-Finish Position (AFP).
- Rookie Tyler Reddick made his Texas Cup Series debut back in July, and he ended as the runner-up to Austin Dillon in the impressive first start.
- The third-longest active streak of top-10 results at Texas belongs to Joe Gibbs Racing driver Erik Jones, who has finished 10th or better in six consecutive starts at the track. Kurt Busch is second with seven straight finishes of 10th or better.
- Ganassi Racing’s Matt Kenseth has the best AFP (9.74) of all active drivers with at least nine Cup starts in Texas, posting two wins, 14 top 5s and 19 top 10s in 31 career starts with 883 laps led.
Who is going to win the Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500?
HARVICK ( +260) is the chalk for a reason, as he has posted three victories in his past six starts at Texas Motor Speedway, and he owns a 4.1 AFP across his past 10 Cup Series starts in Fort Worth.
JGR’s Kyle Busch ( +1200) has the second-closest AFP (8.3) behind Harvick (min. two starts). That’s how dominant Harvick has been since the Fall ’15 Cup Series race at TMS.
Last week’s winner at Kansas, Penske Racing’s JOEY LOGANO ( +700), has posted an 8.8 AFP across his past 10 Texas starts, finishing seventh or better in eight of those nine starts. He was third back in the July installment.
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If you want slightly longer odds, ARIC ALMIROLA ( +2500) is worth a look. He heads into Sunday’s race with four consecutive top-10 showings at Texas, posting an AFP of 6.7. He was 10th in July’s Cup Series stop in Fort Worth.
Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500 long-shot bet
Time is starting to tick down on the Cup Series career of Hendrick Motorsports driver JIMMIE JOHNSON ( +4000). He hasn’t won since June 2017 at Dover, but perhaps Texas will be the final win of his career. The seven-time series champ has hoisted the checkered flags and fired the celebratory six-shooters into the air seven times at Texas, most of any driver, and he has 16 top-5 showings with 22 top-10 runs in 34 career starts. His 10.85 AFP is third-best among drivers with at least nine Cup starts at the track, and he has led a circuit-best 1,152 laps.
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