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2020 Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500 picks from advanced model

Texas Motor Speedway’s 1.5-mile asphalt oval has been a fixture on the NASCAR Cup Series schedule since 1997 and it’s been a part of the NASCAR Playoffs since 2005. On Sunday, the 2020 Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500 will be the third-to-last race of the season and the green flag will drop at 3:30 p.m. ET. Now that Joey Logano is locked into the Championship 4 of the 2020 NASCAR Playoffs after winning last week, seven drivers will battle over the next two weeks for the three remaining spots. However, all 40 drivers in the field this week are eligible to win this week.



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Jimmie Johnson would love to capture his eighth win at Texas in his final full-time season as a 60-1 underdog in the 2020 Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500 odds from William Hill. Kevin Harvick has a good chance of making the final four regardless of whether or not he wins in the next two weeks, but he’d love to erase all doubt with a victory as the 2-1 favorite in the NASCAR at Texas odds. Before making any 2020 Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500 picks or entering a NASCAR DFS contest, be sure to see the latest 2020 NASCAR Playoffs at Texas predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven model at SportsLine.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

The model began the 2020 NASCAR season by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. It got off to a hot start on its NASCAR picks following the coronavirus hiatus as well, calling seven of the top 10 drivers at both Darlington races. Using the model, McClure also recommended an outright play on winner Brad Keselowski at 13-1 as one of his best bets at Bristol in May. 

The model also called Kevin Harvick’s win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race. McClure then used the model to lock in a 10-1 bet on Hamlin for his win at Miami. At The Brickyard, the model called Harvick’s fourth victory of the season, and then nailed four of the top five drivers in the All-Star Race at Bristol. 

During the 2020 NASCAR Playoffs, the model nailed its picks in back-to-back races, calling Denny Hamlin to win at 17-2 in Talladega and Chase Elliott to win at 7-2 on the Charlotte Roval. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model simulated the NASCAR at Texas race on Sunday, Oct. 25, 10,000 times. Head here to see the complete projected leaderboard.

Top 2020 Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500 predictions

The model is high on Joey Logano, even though he’s a 14-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR at Texas odds from William Hill. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Logano is already in the Championship 4 at Phoenix by virtue of his win at Kansas last week, but he’ll still be looking to run well without assuming too much risk to give himself a starting position over the three drivers he’ll compete against for the championship.

The 2018 NASCAR Cup Series champion has three wins already this season and he’s got a long history of running towards the front at Texas Motor Speedway. Logano has 11 top-five finishes at Texas in 24 career starts and won the 2014 Duck Commander 500 there. He’s only finished worse than seventh once in his last nine starts at the 1.5-mile oval.

And a massive shocker: The model is high on Alex Bowman, even though he’s a 25-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR at Texas odds from William Hill. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Bowman is still in the hunt for a shot at the title in Phoenix but he’s pretty far back on points and will likely need a win to earn that opportunity.

However, the 27-year-old has picked up a couple of wins in the last two seasons and he should have his 1.5-mile setup dialed in after finishing third last week at Kansas and fifth at Las Vegas last month. A crash caused Bowman to finish 30th at Texas earlier this year, but he led 11 laps and finished fifth at Texas during the 2019 NASCAR Playoffs and should be a serious threat to get to the front on Sunday.

How to make 2020 Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500 picks

The model is also targeting three other drivers with NASCAR Playoffs at Texas odds of 14-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can only see who they are here.

So who wins Sunday’s 2020 Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500? And which long shots stun NASCAR? Check out the latest odds below and then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2020 NASCAR at Texas leaderboard, all from the model that has crushed its NASCAR picks and nailed the Daytona 500.

2020 NASCAR Playoffs at Texas odds (via William Hill)

Kevin Harvick 2-1

Denny Hamlin 7-2

Ryan Blaney 15-2

Martin Truex Jr. 15-2

Brad Keselowski 8-1

Chase Elliott 8-1

Joey Logano 14-1

Kyle Busch 18-1

Alex Bowman 25-1

Kurt Busch 30-1

Aric Almirola 35-1

William Byron 50-1

Erik Jones 50-1

Austin Dillon 60-1

Jimmie Johnson 60-1

Tyler Reddick 60-1

Matt DiBenedetto 75-1

Clint Bowyer 100-1

Cole Custer 100-1

Christopher Bell 100-1

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 200-1

Ryan Newman 300-1

Matt Kenseth 300-1

Bubba Wallace 500-1

Chris Buescher 500-1

John Hunter 2500-1

Ty Dillon 2500-1

Daniel Suarez 2500-1

Michael McDowell 2500-1

Ryan Preece 2500-1

Joey Gase 5000-1

Josh Bilicki 5000-1

Garrett Smithley 5000-1

JJ Yeley 5000-1

Corey Lajoie 5000-1

Brennan Poole 5000-1

Timmy Hill 5000-1

Quin Houff 5000-1

Chad Finchum 5000-1

Reed Sorenson 5000-1

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